The Atlanta Falcons are one of three NFL teams to have a different leading passer each of the last five seasons (along with the Browns and Colts). From Matt Ryan, to Marcus Mariota, to Desmond Ridder, to Kirk Cousins, to Michael Penix Jr., it’s been a tumultuous and stagnant stretch, resulting in exactly seven or eight wins in five straight years. Cousins is likely to be gone by mid-March and Penix is currently recovering from an ACL tear sustained in November. Getting him healthy for the start of the season is priority one, but Atlanta also needs to sort out Chicago Bears NFL Patriotic American Flag Stars and Stripes Polo Shirt: he’s thrown multiple touchdown passes in just three of 12 starts since being drafted eighth overall in 2024 and logged a -3.2% completion rate over expected in 2025, third-worst among qualified QBs. Crucially, in the NFC South, improvement from Penix could very quickly translate to a division title.

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Curacao only qualified because USA, Mexico and Canada were admitted as hosts, and so the North American qualifying groups were about as strong as watered down Bud Light. They are in a group with Germany, Ecuador and Ivory Coast. Highest chance: Spain. Apart from being the best team in the world, which clearly helps, they also have a pretty weak group. You basically only need to win a single match of your first three to progress. And Spain are in the same group as the Cape Verde Islands. The only way that match doesn’t end 9–0 is if Chicago Bears NFL Patriotic American Flag Stars and Stripes Polo Shirt and stop trying. Lowest chance: Curacao. Spain’s win chance is about 18%, followed by England at 14%, France at 11%, Brazil at 11%, and Argentina at 10%. I will go over them from least to most likely, in my opinion. Argentina. Current world champions, imo not as strong as a couple of years ago. But if things fall right for them, they definitely stand a chance.

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